Daily Market Brief – 14th August 2015

Your Daily Currency Note

Quote of the day: “Never interrupt your enemy when he is making a mistake”

August 14th: Highlights

  • Sterling recovers against Euro
  • Rising UK house prices
  • Greek MP’s vote on key bailout deal
  • China central bank claim no further depreciation

Sterling Comment

Sterling began its recovery from a one month low against the Euro yesterday, largely as a result of rising house prices in the UK that supported a view that consumer demand was holding up pretty well. The Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors released data showing its monthly house price balance rose to +44 in July from +40 in June, it’s highest levels since July 2014 and better than forecasted. GBP/EUR is trading at 1.4010.

Against the dollar, Sterling lost ground yesterday and was 0.2 percent down at $1.5580. The greenback was helped by strong retail sales data emanating out of the US.

All eyes today will be on both the UK’s construction output and the Eurozone’s second quarter growth data scheduled for release. Strong results for either region could impact on GBP/EUR exchange rates. Stay tuned.

Greece

Greek MP’s are voting on a new bailout deal, having debated its terms throughout the night. PM Tsipras claims he is confident of winning the vote and securing a third international bailout worth in the region of $95 billion.

The next crunch deadline is August 20, when it must pay in the region of 3.2 billion Euros to the European Central Bank.

Global Comment

The US Commerce Department released data showing retail sales increased by 0.6% last month, beating analyst expectations for a gain of 0.5%, while core retail sales rose by 0.4% in July, in line with forecasts. EUR/USD is currently trading at 1.1142.

Drama over the devaluation of the Chinese Yuan seems to be subsiding after the China central bank said yesterday there was no basis for further depreciation in the currency. The Yuan has fallen by an astonishing 5% against the US Dollar in this past week. The Aussie dollar was relatively subdued , with investors still trying to work out how to interpret the new Yuan fixing mechanism. GBP/AUD is trading in the region of 2.1124.

Have a great end to the week!

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Paul Plewman

Paul Plewman
Director of Sales & Operations
t: +44 (0) 20 7096 1036
e: paul@currencytransfer.com

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