Daily Market Brief – 3rd August 2015

GBPEUR 1.42 + | GBPCAD 7 Yr Highs

Quote of the day: “Shipping beats perfection”

August 3rd: Highlights

  • GBP/EUR above 1.42
  • Athens stock market plunges by 23%
  • GBP/CAD touches 7 year highs
  • Further contraction in China

Sterling Comment

Last week was generally viewed as a positive week for the British Pound. With no UK data release, Sterling was left to trade on risk appetite. GBP/EUR dropped a full 1.4% through Friday afternoon largely off the back of positive German retail data which came in at 5.1% better than the previous year. GBP/EUR is currently trading at 1.4231.

GBP/USD is trading in the region of 1.5613. This week, investors will be looking at a wealth of domestic data releases. Pay attention to: Manufacturing, Construction and Services PMI, MPC rate meeting and Mark Carney’s quarterly inflation report on Thursday.

Interestingly, the world’s most famous investment bank Goldman Sachs has told clients that they are forecasting GBPEUR exchange rates to rise beyond 1.50 in 2016. This makes Goldman Sachs amongst the most bullish forecasters amongst the investment banking world.

“We believe EUR/GBP’s relatively steady decline reflects the ongoing outperformance of UK activity, firming price pressures in the form of wage growth which is trumping low inflation prints, and incremental hawkishness in central bank communication,” comments George Cole at Goldman Sachs.

If you are buying currency with sterling, rates are up across the board. It may be a good time to view live quotes or talk to your Personal Currency Concierge regarding any upcoming purchasing strategies.


The Athens Stock Exchange plunged by almost 23% when trading finally opened after a five week closure. Trading shut prior to the Government in Greece imposing capital controls at the height of the debt crisis. With sentiment of an economy in tatters, traders are expected to incur sharp losses.

Banks make up about a fifth of the index – with the biggest losers the four’s top lenders – Piraeus Bank, National Bank, Alpha Bank and Eurobank.

Global Comment

EUR/USD is trading in the region of 1.0972, drifting away from the 1.10 handle. This follows the release in today’s European morning of a mixed set of manufacturing PMI’s across the Euro area.

The Canadian Dollar continued it’s downward trend against most of it’s major peers following GDP falling 0.2% last month, it’s fifth consecutive monthly decrease. GBP/CAD touched seven year highs of 2.0425, levels that we haven’t seen since the crash in 2008.

We’re seeing more bad news coming out of China, with manufacturing PMI showing even further contraction in the sector. Expected at 48.3, data showed PMI was at 47.8 – a 5th consecutive reading under 50.

Have a great day!

Morning mid-market rates – The majors
48-GBP GBP > USD 147-USD = 1.5565
48-GBP GBP > EUR 45-EUR = 1.4194
45-EUR EUR > USD 147-USD = 1.0965
45-EUR EUR > GBP 48-GBP = 0.7044
48-GBP GBP > AUD 8-AUD = 2.1470
48-GBP GBP > ILS 62-ILS = 5.8929
48-GBP GBP > CHF 29-CHF = 1.4980

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Got a question? We’d be delighted to help!

Paul Plewman

Paul Plewman
Director of Sales & Operations
t: +44 (0) 20 7096 1036
e: paul@currencytransfer.com


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